August 25, 2007
HAVE YOU EVER WONDERED HOW A WORD, IDIOM OR PHRASE ORIGINATED IN THE AMERICAN LANGUAGE?
There has been a flood of articles and explanations about the current credit crunch, which is exacerbating the sub-prime loan debacle and also has escalated the decline in the residential real estate market. If we take a moment to isolate on the real estate market, it is apparent that we are experiencing the classic “Boom & Bust” economic cycle.
As stated in a previous posting, the real estate market is cyclical in nature – values go up and values come down. The key is to try to keep these cycles from germinating a recession or depression. Once again, however, the steady and rapid rise of residential values over the last five years has fed investor expectations (greed) beyond the point of reason.
This current economic boom in residential real estate probably peaked in 2004-2005, but that did not stop further investment. As a result, real estate values remained artificially high until fear stepped in, and the values dropped, as the speculators left the market for other opportunities.
In 2007 we are starting to see more clearly the consequences of not only the speculation in real estate, but also the speculation in the financial market by channeling huge amounts of funds into mortgage backed securities. The investors believed the big lie and forgot the basic tenants of investing; now, we can only guess at the depth and breadth of the real estate bust.
The “Boom & Bust” economic cycle has been around for well over 100 years, and the fundamentals are essentially always the same; however, we never tire of being mesmerized in the morality play by the two primary actors – greed and fear.
Please read the attached pdf posting on the origin of “Boom & Bust” to see the full results of my research. As always, I would appreciate your feedback on the attached pdf.
1) Did you find the posting informative?
2) How would you improve this posting?
3) Can you provide a better Moment of Zen?
Jim C Quiz – Boom and Bust.pdf